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Bitcoin's Leading Post-Quantum Signature Proposal | CONDUITION

8/27/2026 · 105 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

Conduition co-authored a full specification for SHRINCS, a post-quantum signature scheme combining stateless (Sphinx-based) and stateful (hash-based) components for Bitcoin.

Hash-based signatures offer conservative cryptographic assumptions compared to elliptic-curve cryptography, providing resilience against multiple threat vectors beyond quantum computers.

SHRINCS uses WOTS+C (Winternitz one-time signatures with compression), FORS (Forest of Random Subsets), and XMSS (Extended Merkle Signature Scheme) as its core building blocks.

The scheme introduces flexible tree structures (unbalanced and balanced XMSS) for different use cases, enabling address reuse for custodians and proof-of-reserve scenarios without sacrificing security.

Stateful signatures are ~538 bytes versus stateless signatures at ~5,776 bytes, both roughly 10x larger than current Schnorr signatures, with faster verification offsetting size concerns.

State management remains the critical risk: wallet developers must carefully track signature counters to avoid accidental key exposure through signature reuse.

Market & price signals

None discussed.

Actionable insights

Bitcoin developers should prioritize implementing the stateless component of SHRINCS first, which requires only standard NIST libraries with tweaked parameters, before tackling complex stateful key management.

Address reuse remains viable in a post-quantum Bitcoin via balanced XMSS (BXMSS), preserving functionality for custodians, proof-of-reserves, and lightning protocols without losing security guarantees.

Witness discounts may become necessary to justify signature size, but this remains an open question requiring community discussion around verification costs versus blockchain storage constraints.

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