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Rabbit Hole Recap: Bitcoin Week of 2021.01.18

1/21/2021 · 112 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

— Bitcoin experienced a minor chain reorg on January 20, with two competing blocks mined simultaneously; the network functioned normally and no actual double-spend attack occurred.

— Craig Wright sued Bitcoin.org and BitcoinCore.org over copyright claims to the Bitcoin whitepaper, prompting rapid community response with widespread distribution across multiple platforms.

— Energy consumption FUD continues to circulate on social media; Bitcoin miners predominantly use renewables (~70% of network) and often utilize otherwise-wasted fossil fuels for profitable mining operations.

— BlackRock disclosed SEC filings indicating intention to offer Bitcoin futures trading in two of their funds, signaling major institutional interest despite paper-market concerns.

— Chainalysis released 2020 illicit activity report showing ransomware and scams drove cryptocurrency crime, which declined significantly year-over-year in both absolute and percentage terms.

— C Lightning v0.9.3 released with major updates including Lightning messaging without payment requirements and improved tools for content creators accepting donations via static invoices.

Market & price signals

— Bitcoin price trading around $31,905 per the show's opening discussion. Satoshi rate approximately 3,134 sats per $1. Bitcoin market cap valued at $593.6 billion. Corporate treasures now total 1,216,060 BTC (6.54% of total supply) worth $38.8 billion. Next difficulty adjustment estimated at 1.9% increase, slated for January 23, 2021. Mempool showed 67,552 pending transactions with 5 sat/byte minimum rate requiring ~one week for confirmation. Samurai Whirlpool liquidity around $71.9 million, near Bitcoin all-time high despite recent price decline.

Actionable insights

— Wait for multiple confirmations (historically six) before considering large Bitcoin transactions final; zero-conf acceptance carries genuine double-spend risk, making it suitable only for small amounts or trusted parties.

— Independently host critical Bitcoin files (whitepaper, core code) via torrents and personal servers rather than relying solely on centralized repositories; distribute responsibility across the community to resist censorship.

— Avoid any "get rich quick" schemes promising trading bot returns, altcoin projects, or guaranteed profits; hold Bitcoin long-term in self-custody and use dollar-cost averaging rather than trusting third parties with your private keys.

Episode sponsorships

Paid placements mentioned in this episode. BTC Pods is not sponsored by or affiliated with these advertisers. Links are included so you can find offers mentioned on the show.

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