Rabbit Hole Recap: Week of 2020.09.14
9/17/2020 · 82 min · transcript via mlx
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Key topics
— Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy invested $425 million in Bitcoin through small off-chain transactions, now holding ~38,000 BTC in self-custody cold storage, representing a major corporate allocation to the asset.
— Bakkt Bitcoin futures hit an all-time daily volume record of $200 million, up 36% from the previous high, signaling increased institutional interest in derivatives markets.
— Ledger Live now offers coin control functionality, enabling users to select specific UTXOs and avoid dust attacks; labeling features and full node support are in development.
— Lightning Network improvements including multi-path payments (MPP) and Wumbo channels meaningfully enhance liquidity and transaction success rates by enabling payments across multiple routes simultaneously.
— KYC (Know Your Customer) proliferation via regulatory bodies like FATF represents the most significant emerging threat to Bitcoin users, encouraging individual adoption of privacy practices including coin joining, self-custody, and non-KYC acquisition.
— Chinese nationals indicted for hacking 100+ companies; a leaked database exposed 2.4 million foreign citizens' data, underscoring external risks to KYC-collected personal information held by exchanges and governments.
Market & price signals
— Bitcoin price at 10,924 USD; one sat per byte fees achievable. Difficulty adjustment estimated at 11.8% upward with 360 blocks remaining; blocks arriving at 8 minutes 57 seconds. Samurai Whirlpool unspent capacity at 1,573 BTC; Lightning capacity at 1,000 BTC (38x smaller than MicroStrategy's holdings). Wrapped Bitcoin on Ethereum at ~90,000 BTC (MicroStrategy now owns 0.18% of total potential BTC supply). Block height 648,792.
Actionable insights
— Prioritize self-custody with coin control practices and consider coin joining to reduce exposure to creeping KYC enforcement; even regulatory-compliant acquisitions can be clustered and flagged by chain surveillance.
— Start implementing privacy incrementally by removing one corporate surveillance dependency (Gmail, Google Calendar, location tracking) every six months; practice small amounts with Lightning or CoinJoin before committing larger positions.
— Monitor decentralized mining pool development (using OP_CHECKTEMPLATEVERIFY) and non-custodial wallet solutions (Sparrow, Specter, Knox Custody) as potential long-term defenses against mining and wallet-level regulatory pressure.
Episode sponsorships
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