Rabbit Hole Recap: Bitcoin Week of 2021.03.01
3/4/2021 · 139 min · transcript via mlx
Tags
Key topics
— CoinJoin enforcement escalating: Bottle Pay flagged Samourai Whirlpool deposits and Bitstamp flagged Wasabi withdrawals, with users now required to disclose post-mix destination addresses; exchanges are tightening KYC/AML policies around privacy tools despite their legitimate use.
— I2P network support merged into Bitcoin Core 0.22.0: Anonymous network protocol added alongside existing Tor support to prevent IP leaks when broadcasting transactions, improving network-layer privacy.
— Zcash sidechain demo on Regtest: Paul Stork demonstrated a drive chain proof-of-concept using Zcash on Regtest; still requires BIP 300 development but shows progress on future Bitcoin scaling without mainnet risk.
— Whirlpool CLI v0.10.10 update: Major performance improvements, removal of mixed target selection, and new multi-UTXO TX0 support; multi-party TX0s coming to break the TX0 heuristic and improve privacy at entry.
— Arthur Hayes negotiating Bitcoin Max surrenders terms: Hayes is coordinating with U.S. prosecutors from Singapore, negotiating in-person court appearance conditions rather than submitting immediately; co-founder Samuel Reed is in custody while Benjamin Delo is in London.
— Mining ASIC supply constraints: New miner shortage driven by foundry floor space limitations, supply chain disruptions, and publicly traded companies holding machines they cannot profitably deploy; downward difficulty adjustment expected this week.
Market & price signals
— Bitcoin currently trading at $48,275; Marty's $65,000 prediction from last week remains unmet.
— GBTC and QBTC premiums inverted to approximately –4% discount (previously at significant premiums).
— Bitcoin-to-gold ratio climbing sharply to 28.2 oz per BTC at +8.31% weekly gain.
— Block height 673,152; 88.78% of all Bitcoin circulating; difficulty adjustment downward by –1.3% expected within 24 hours.
— Hash rate holding around 147–153 exahash/second, lagging price appreciation over the past six months (price up ~5x since September 2020, but hash rate only modestly higher).
— Samourai Whirlpool liquidity pool at 1,979.31 BTC (~$95.6 million USD equivalent).
Actionable insights
— Do not deposit into regulated KYC exchanges if using CoinJoin: Keep minimal funds on exchange platforms and assume your withdrawal or deposit may be flagged; maintain self-custody with hardware wallets and use off-ramps sparingly for conversion to fiat.
— Test seed phrase recovery before sending funds: Use a second device or temporary wallet to confirm you can recover your private keys correctly; if recovery fails, seek professional help from established recovery services (e.g., walletrecoveryservices.com, not random emails) rather than sending keys to unknown parties.
— Increase Whirlpool volume through adoption: The larger the liquidity pool and number of users, the stronger the privacy guarantee; use post-mix tools (PayJoin, stowaway, multi-party coin joins) alongside CoinJoin for layered privacy and to break on-chain heuristics.
Episode sponsorships
Paid placements mentioned in this episode. BTC Pods is not sponsored by or affiliated with these advertisers. Links are included so you can find offers mentioned on the show.
— Cash App lets you buy, sell, send, and receive Bitcoin with integrated Lightning Network payments for fast, cheap transactions and automatic DCA stacking with zero fees on buys over $2,000; withdraw on-chain or to Lightning 24/7 to your own node or hardware wallet. For a limited time, new Cash App customers can get $21 added to their balance by using code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks; terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See Bitcoin disclosures at https://cash.app/legal/podcast.
— Unchained Capital holds Bitcoin in collaborative custody (you hold two keys, they hold one) and offers Bitcoin loans, IRAs, and inheritance solutions; go to https://unchained.com/tftc/ and use code TFTC10 at checkout for 10% off a new multi-sig vault.
— Hodl Hodl's Lend platform is a new non-custodial Bitcoin-backed lending product available to U.S. users, allowing peer-to-peer lending and borrowing between users globally, anonymously, and on your own terms. You create a multi-sig escrow and retain one key throughout; your collateral always remains locked in that escrow. Create your offers and set your own terms at https://lend.hodlhodl.com.