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← The Pomp Podcast

#1446 Anthony Pompliano | Bitcoin Is Having A Monster Month!

11/30/2024 · 15 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

— Federal Reserve shifted to interest rate cuts (100 basis points expected by end of 2024), signaling a regime change that supports risk assets like Bitcoin and equities.

— M2 money supply expanding globally alongside cheaper capital inflow, creating tailwinds for investment assets across multiple countries.

— Trump administration priorities include housing affordability, border security, inflation control, and government spending cuts via the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).

— Bitcoin Strategic Reserve concept: US could commit to holding its 200,000 BTC without selling, potentially spurring other nations and sovereign wealth funds to establish reserves.

— Traditional Wall Street underestimates Bitcoin's upside while hardcore Bitcoin maximalists may overestimate; balanced portfolio approach spanning both digital and legacy assets is gaining adoption.

— Public companies with Bitcoin and crypto exposure likely to outperform peers by combining underlying asset exposure with cash flow generation.

Market & price signals

— Bitcoin finished November up 40% and is up 156% over the past year, 130% year-to-date. S&P 500 posted best monthly performance of 2024 in November. NASDAQ up 50% in 2023. Bitcoin dropped to $16,000 during the Fed's rate-hiking cycle (0% to 5.5%) but rebounded as cuts began. Median US home price rose from ~$280,000 (2016) to ~$430,000 (2024); priced in Bitcoin, a home fell from 664 BTC (2016) to 6 BTC (2024), illustrating Bitcoin's appreciation relative to real estate.

Actionable insights

— Diversify across both Bitcoin and traditional assets (stocks, real estate, commodities) rather than going all-in on either extreme; most sophisticated investors are tilting larger allocations to Bitcoin while maintaining legacy holdings.

— Focus on public companies with Bitcoin/crypto exposure and cash flow generation, not just spot asset ownership; these businesses offer upside similar to gold miners versus gold bullion.

— Self-educate using freely available information and execute trades directly via apps (Coinbase, Robinhood) rather than relying on intermediaries; success depends on your own research and discipline to buy quality assets and hold long-term.

Episode sponsorships

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