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#1581 Anthony & Polina Pompliano | The Bitcoin Bull Run Is Far From Over

7/30/2025 · 37 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

— Bitcoin's hash rate hits all-time highs while price reaches $118,000, signaling a maturing market with structural support from ETF inflows and record buyer-to-seller ratios.

— The Trump administration negotiated a trade deal with the EU securing 15% tariffs on European goods, €600 billion in U.S. investments, hundreds of billions in military equipment purchases, and market access—described as a decisive win in geopolitical negotiation.

— Tariffs are not inflationary as previously feared; instead, they generate revenue (estimated $3 trillion over a decade) and provide negotiating leverage that strengthens the U.S. position globally.

— The U.S. economy remains the world's most attractive destination for capital, with foreigners buying record levels of American debt and equities, and the dollar used in nearly 50% of global payments.

— American exceptionalism and capitalism continue to drive innovation (reusable rockets, self-driving cars, genetic editing) and GDP growth potential, positioning the country for sustained economic outperformance.

— Bitcoin serves as the best savings technology, offering purchasing power appreciation that can help individuals build wealth and financial security over time.

Market & price signals

— Bitcoin trades at $118,000 near all-time highs with muted volatility compared to prior cycles—only one 30% drawdown in this bull market versus six in 2017. Hash rate at all-time highs reflects 600%+ more daily buyers than producers, mathematically driving continued price appreciation. ETF inflows have created a 45-degree angle grind upward since approval, replacing boom-bust cycles with steady accumulation. Price consolidation indicates strong institutional demand. Targets of $150,000 by year-end are realistic given structural support; $400,000 scenarios less likely. Foreigners buying record U.S. debt and equities signals strong capital inflows supporting risk assets broadly. Tariff revenue of $3 trillion over ten years and surplus spending in June suggest potential fiscal improvement, supportive for risk-on sentiment.

Actionable insights

— Own Bitcoin as portfolio insurance: With 600%+ more buyers than daily supply, price mechanics favor accumulation; Bitcoin's purchasing power has outpaced home prices and is now cheaper per median-home equivalent than ever, making it the best savings technology available.

— Position for American economic renaissance: Tariff deals generate revenue, reduce debt burden, and attract foreign investment; combined with innovation momentum, the U.S. is entering an economic boom cycle—allocate capital to American equities and assets rather than international alternatives.

— Monitor tariff revenue and fiscal discipline: The $3 trillion tariff windfall is meaningful but only solves ~10% of national debt over a decade; watch whether the government cuts expenses alongside revenue gains to avoid continued money printing, which would require larger asset positions to preserve purchasing power.

Episode sponsorships

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