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#1497 Adam Haynes | Will The Government Mine Bitcoin?!

3/5/2025 · 39 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

— Bitcoin miners are making more strategic, cautious investments rather than over-leveraging, as seen in past cycles where bankruptcies and liquidations were common.

— Hash rate efficiency has improved dramatically—from 35 joules per terahash four years ago to 12 joules per terahash today—extending machine lifespans and lowering operational costs.

— Simple Mining operates as a vertically integrated service provider offering hosting, hardware sales, and equipment repair; they manage 20,000 machines across multiple facilities and repair thousands of hash boards monthly.

— Liquid cooling technology (hydro) is gaining adoption over traditional air cooling, offering better reliability, higher power density per machine, and lower noise for local approval.

— The AI/HPC infrastructure buildout may represent near-term malinvestment, with unclear revenue models and demand; Simple Mining remains Bitcoin-focused and sees no material customer demand for GPU hosting.

— Geopolitical competition in Bitcoin mining is intensifying—nations like Russia, Bhutan, El Salvador, and the UAE are mining and holding Bitcoin, while the US lags despite abundant energy resources.

Market & price signals

— None discussed.

Actionable insights

— Mining as dollar-cost averaging: Bitcoin mining removes emotional barriers to accumulation by providing daily, automated Bitcoin acquisition regardless of price volatility, often resulting in higher total holdings than discretionary buying alone.

— Machine payback periods: New ASIC hardware costing $5,000–$9,000 has historically achieved ROI within 6 months to 2 years depending on timing and difficulty; hosting costs are 7–8 cents per kilowatt-hour, with daily returns varying by Bitcoin difficulty and price.

— Grid-friendly operations: Miners offering rapid load curtailment (98% within 120 seconds) become critical infrastructure assets to utilities managing renewable energy intermittency; this advantage is not available to AI/HPC operations and positions Bitcoin mining as strategically valuable.

Episode sponsorships

Paid placements mentioned in this episode. BTC Pods is not sponsored by or affiliated with these advertisers. Links are included so you can find offers mentioned on the show.

— Bitdeer (NASDAQ: BTDR) is a global leader in Bitcoin mining and high-performance computing for artificial intelligence, led by a seasoned management team and backed by a massive 2.5 gigawatt global power portfolio. Bitdeer recently launched its proprietary Seal Miner ASICs with two more groundbreaking models set to launch in 2025. Visit bitdeer.com to learn more.

— Bitwise is one of the largest and fastest-growing crypto asset managers that provides intelligent access to Bitcoin and other digital assets. Bitwise is the first and only Bitcoin ETF provider to openly publish its Bitcoin wallet addresses, allowing anyone to verify fund holdings, and it donates 10% of ETF profits to Bitcoin open-source developers. Visit bitwisepomp.com to learn more about their ETF and services.

— Bitcoin OS is bringing Bitcoin into a new era by enabling real DeFi access across crypto using revolutionary zero-knowledge technology, allowing Bitcoiners to securely move sats across the ecosystem without trusting sketchy bridges. Follow Bitcoin OS on Twitter at x.com/BTC_OS and be early to Bitcoin again.