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#242: Ledn.io, Proof of Reserves, risk management, hyperinflation, and the Petro with Mauricio Di Bartolomeo

3/29/2021 · 104 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

— Ledn's Series A funding round closed in mid-January with investors including Coinbase Ventures, CMT Digital, White Star Capital, and Susquehanna affiliate; the team is expanding and hiring a Chief Risk Officer with deep FX desk experience.

— Proof of Reserves attestation conducted with Armonino LLP enables anonymized verification that Ledn holds sufficient Bitcoin to cover all client balances; clients receive hashed IDs to verify their balances on the Armonino Trust Explorer website.

— Interest-bearing Bitcoin savings accounts managed through duration matching—Ledn ensures callback periods on loans to institutional counterparties are shorter than client withdrawal windows to prevent liquidity crises.

— Ledn operates an internal transfer system allowing free Bitcoin transactions between accounts on the platform, avoiding costly on-chain fees during network congestion.

— Risk management includes diversifying from Genesis as the primary lending counterparty and avoiding direct exposure to trades like the GBTC arbitrage, which compressed significantly as market participants entered the space.

— Macro context of persistent central bank money printing, dollar devaluation, and inflation affecting different demographics unevenly; Bitcoin provides escape-hatch liquidity for individuals in high-inflation jurisdictions like Venezuela and Colombia.

Market & price signals

— Bitcoin market cap grew from $103.9 billion one year ago (March 2020) to approximately $1.688 trillion today—roughly $1 trillion added in a single year.

— Real estate prices in the Hamptons more than doubled in 2020 as wealthy individuals sought to preserve wealth amid currency depreciation.

— Fixed-income yields compressed dramatically: accessing $120,000 annual cash flow from triple-A bonds required $3 million at pandemic start, rising to $4.5 million by year-end—a 50% increase in capital required.

— GBTC premium arbitrage compressed to discount as market participants and institutional lenders saturated the trade.

— Mexican peso strengthened significantly against the US dollar over the past year (roughly 25% appreciation from March to December 2020) despite massive US stimulus, signaling capital flows seeking stronger currencies.

Actionable insights

— Verify custody and risk structure directly with lending platforms before committing funds; inquire about duration matching, callback periods, counterparty diversification, and withdrawal timelines—rates alone do not reflect underlying risk.

— Ledn's internal transfer feature allows free peer-to-peer Bitcoin sends between platform users during high-fee periods; routes that avoid on-chain settlement reduce friction for smaller balances and recurring transactions.

— Bitcoin remains accessible to individuals in weak-currency jurisdictions at fractional amounts (cents worth), enabling systematic accumulation and collateralization for loans otherwise unavailable through traditional finance—a material advantage for bootstrap scenarios in emerging markets.

Episode sponsorships

Paid placements mentioned in this episode. BTC Pods is not sponsored by or affiliated with these advertisers. Links are included so you can find offers mentioned on the show.

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