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The Pomp Podcast

345: Ian Cassel on Micro Cap Investing

7/25/2020 · 70 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

Microcap stocks are publicly traded companies with market capitalizations under $300 million; approximately 10,000 of North America's 20,000 public equities fall into this category.

The smallest decile (sub-$114 million) has outperformed all other market cap classes since 1927, compounding at ~17% versus 12.5% for the next highest decile.

Illiquid microcaps historically outperform liquid microcaps because institutional capital cannot access them until companies execute and liquidity increases, creating a structural advantage for astute retail investors.

The microcap investing process is heavily process-driven and requires extensive due diligence—reading filings, communicating with management, and analyzing fundamentals—rather than relying on analyst reports or screens.

Portfolio construction should balance concentration (which builds wealth) with diversification; Cassel takes positions at 5–10% initially and averages up into winning situations rather than constantly averaging down into disappointments.

Management quality is paramount in microcap investing, particularly identifying business operators rather than stock promoters who genuinely think about mining or their industry as a real business.

Market & price signals

None discussed.

Actionable insights

Focus on profitable microcap companies (only ~18% are profitable) trading on SEC-regulated exchanges with audited financials to reduce fraud risk and concentrate on quality businesses.

Look for companies with business models that can grow through a recession, balance sheets strong enough to weather downturns, conservative fundamental upside potential over 2–3 years, and leadership with an "intelligent fanatic" mindset.

Develop direct relationships with management teams and listen for subtle tone shifts in conversations; selling should occur when you begin rationalizing a position rather than waiting for explicit bad news.

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