₿ BTC PodsBe a Pod Maxi
← The Pomp Podcast

#1544 Anthony & Polina Pompliano | Why Isn’t Bitcoin $150K If Everyone’s Buying?

5/6/2025 · 38 min · transcript via mlx

Tags

Key topics

— Bitcoin's price has risen from $69,000 in November to $94,000 currently, delivering 50% returns over the last year and outperforming gold despite investor sentiment that gains are insufficient.

— Warren Buffett recently acknowledged that fiscal policy and currency devaluation scare him, aligning with Bitcoin advocates' concerns while Berkshire Hathaway stock fell 6% when he announced his retirement, suggesting a "Buffett premium" was priced into the company.

— The U.S. economy shows mixed signals: inflation has dropped to 1.5%, jobs are being created at 177,000 per month, yet consumer confidence hit its lowest level since 2011, creating a divergence between sentiment and actual economic data.

— Scott Bessent's "reprivatization" agenda calls for reducing public sector spending and jobs while deregulating the private sector to shift economic growth from government-dependent to market-driven growth.

— Media outlets are amplifying fear narratives about tariffs and economic collapse while the stock market has recovered 11% in one month and remains only 3.5% down year-to-date, demonstrating a gap between headlines and market reality.

— Polina Pompliano's profile of real estate entrepreneur Ryan Serhant examines how modern founders leverage media distribution and audience-building as competitive advantages against traditional incumbents.

Market & price signals

— Bitcoin: $94,000 currently, up 50% over 12 months and 25% since November; up positive year-to-date while stocks are down 3.5%.

— Gold: up 45% over the last 12 months.

— S&P 500: down 3.5% year-to-date but up 11% in the last 30 days; stock market volatility has reversed quickly from March lows.

— Inflation: dropped from over 3% in December to under 1.5% currently, driven by declines in food and gas prices.

— Jobs data: 177,000 jobs added in April, exceeding expectations.

— Berkshire Hathaway: stock fell 6% upon Buffett's retirement announcement, suggesting approximately 5–10% of market cap was attributable to the "Buffett premium."

— M&A activity remains robust (Pershing Square investing $900M in Howard Hughes Holdings; Google acquiring Wiz; OpenAI buying Windrow for $3B), indicating healthy dealmaking despite economic uncertainty.

Actionable insights

— Dollar-cost average into Bitcoin and equities rather than trying to time the market; major institutions and public companies are buying across all price levels, and price-insensitive buyers reduce the likelihood of sustained price depression.

— Ignore fear-driven media headlines and focus on actual economic data (jobs, M&A activity, consumer spending, market recovery) to make investment decisions, as consensus sentiment has historically been wrong during volatile periods.

— Position portfolios for the transition from public-sector-driven growth to private-sector growth, as deregulation and capital reallocation favor entrepreneurship, innovation, and risk-taking over government-dependent business models.

Episode sponsorships

Paid placements mentioned in this episode. BTC Pods is not sponsored by or affiliated with these advertisers. Links are included so you can find offers mentioned on the show.

— Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. For more information and to access their white glove hosting service, visit https://www.simplemining.io/pomp to download the 2026 Bitcoin Mining Blueprint.

— Polkadot is a scalable, secure, and decentralized blockchain technology aimed at creating Web3, created by Gavin Wood, co-founder of Ethereum. Polkadot empowers users to build decentralized applications with ease and is backed by industry leaders. Learn more at https://polkadot.com/.