Recent episodes
Bitcoin, AI and the Way Out of the Permanent Underclass | Fernando Nikolić #230
- Fernando left Blockstream as VP of Marketing to build Perception solo, achieving profitability within seven months while still in beta with zero employees or external funding. - The original dashboard product failed to gain traction; he pivoted to offering data via Model Context Protocol (MCP) for integration into Claude, ChatGPT, and internal AI workflows after discovering users wanted to reduce tool sprawl rather than add another layer. - Coding has become commoditized through AI; the hard competitive edges now lie in sales, marketing, positioning, and understanding customer psychology—not technical execution. - Running a business entirely on a fleet of AI agents instead of human staff eliminates politics, meetings, and overhead, though it requires extensive prompt engineering and orchestration to prevent mistakes and ensure security. - AI-generated content ("AI slop") is ubiquitous and indistinguishable; differentiation now demands storytelling, founder philosophy, and authentic human insight that AI cannot generate independently. - In a world of AI abundance and potential monetary debasement, non-builders should hold Bitcoin as a scarce, predictably distributed asset; builders should use AI to create products people want.
Britain's £135 Billion Premium Bonds Delusion | Jordan Walker #229
- Premium bonds are the UK's most popular savings product, with 23 million people holding £135 billion despite nearly two-thirds of holders never winning any prize. - Historical origins trace to 1956 when Harold Macmillan launched premium bonds using ERNIE, a random-number machine built by the same engineer who created Colossus at Bletchley Park during World War II. - Even when prize winners do win, purchasing power erosion means nominal gains are offset by inflation; a £100 bond from 1956 has lost 96% of its purchasing power and is worth approximately £4 in today's terms. - Premium bonds represent the UK government's cheapest borrowing mechanism, securing £135 billion at zero interest cost by paying returns via lottery tickets rather than yields. - UK households hold £610 billion in long-term cash deposits (excluding emergency funds and bills) earning no real returns while losing ~£16 billion annually to 2.6% inflation. - Only 8% of UK adults hold equities or funds outside pensions—the lowest rate in the G7, compared to 33% of Americans—reflecting a cultural preference for cash savings over investment.
There Is Up To £2m Of Bitcoin Still Hidden In Yorkshire | Nic Cary #228
- Nic Cary first learned about Bitcoin in 2011 on a fishing boat on Long Island Sound when a university friend explained hard money and "computer money" to him; he became convinced by the philosophy, economics, and technology together. - Blockchain.com was founded as a block explorer (transaction search engine) in York, a quieter environment that enabled deep focus; it later expanded into wallet services with client-side encryption to give users self-custody control over their assets. - Cary buried approximately £1–2 million worth of Bitcoin in geocaches across Yorkshire over 13 years ago as a guerrilla marketing stunt; the funds were worth only £12–15 each at the time and many remain unfound. - The company evolved from a block explorer to offering wallets, and now partnerships like Polymarket and SnapMarkets for prediction markets and tokenized stocks, democratizing access to financial assets globally. - Blockchain.com has achieved FCA regulation in the UK and a MiCA license for Europe; a confidential SEC filing indicates preparation for US IPO. - Cary expects digital assets and Bitcoin will become the dominant medium for machine-to-machine transactions within 5–10 years as autonomous computer systems require digitally native payment systems.
The Bitcoin Bottom, Family Offices and the UK Exodus | Richard Byworth #227
Bitcoin Treasury Companies, Digital Credit and Where Bitcoin Goes Next | Ben Harvey #226
- Bitcoin drawdown compression cycle-over-cycle (50% in current cycle vs. 77–84% historically) suggests potential cycle bottom despite brutal sentiment. - ETF flows show rotation from fast money (traders, hedge funds) to long-term capital (registered investment advisors), indicating holder base strengthening. - Long-term holders now represent 75% of Bitcoin supply (15 million BTC), reducing tradable float and removing marginal sellers; this structural shift supports shallower drawdowns. - Realized volatility compression (currently ~40% vs. 80%+ in bear markets) acts as a capital charge; lower vol widens institutional buyer eligibility and mandate access. - Bitcoin treasury companies represent the endgame: a financial system built on Bitcoin as reserve asset, unlocked via digital credit products (perpetual preferred instruments) that allow institutions to access stable, yield-bearing assets backed by Bitcoin rather than holding volatile Bitcoin directly. - SmarterWeb's UK court approval (14 July) to convert £210 million share premium into distributable reserves opens the door for the first perpetual preferred (digital credit) issuance in Europe, likely within weeks.
Bitcoin Feels Like 2022 Again, And That's Not a Bad Sign
- Current market sentiment mirrors November 2022: 50% drawdown from recent highs, ETF outflows, negative headlines—but the potential bottom (~$60k) vastly exceeds the 2022 floor ($15–16k), signalling structural strength despite identical panic. - Institutional and regulatory landscape has transformed in four years: spot Bitcoin ETFs (BlackRock), JP Morgan client access, sovereign wealth fund accumulation, Square merchant adoption (4 million US terminals), and US strategic reserve framework now exist where none did in 2022. - Bitcoin declared dead 475 times on record; the pattern shows deaths spike when price falls (June–July 2022, February–April 2026) and decline during rallies—a predictable cycle that shakes out uninformed participants rather than signalling genuine failure. - AI capital rotation is temporary; while AI tools capture attention and funding, Bitcoin remains the one digital asset that cannot be copied or printed, gaining relative importance as AI commoditizes everything else. - Bitcoin Business Network has exceeded expectations with 100+ UK member businesses signing up weekly, validating in-person professional networking and friction reduction (onboarding, tax, accounting guidance) during a bear market. - Bear markets are for building; new website, streamlined business onboarding, and a major unannounced expansion in the pipeline position the ecosystem for the next price cycle.
The Story of a Hotelier Who Discovered Bitcoin Nine Months Ago and Is Already Thinking in Sats | Nicholas Dickinson #224
- Nick's hotel business journey: Owner of Congham Hall, a 13th hotel property across a 40+ year hospitality career; operates the business as a profitable all-year-round operation through diversified offerings (spa, cabins, pub) on 50 acres in Norfolk. - Bitcoin discovery and conviction building: Found Bitcoin through reading *The Price of Tomorrow*, watched "What's the Problem" video, and engaged with the Bitcoin Advisor (Richard Cahill, Bitcoin IFA). Bought first significant stack at all-time high (October, ~£93,000 per BTC) and has continued DCA-ing through the downturn. - Power law framework: Central to his conviction is understanding Bitcoin's governance by power law; expects 42% current CAGR declining over time; uses this to assess discount/premium to trend price rather than short-term fiat volatility, giving him confidence to hold through corrections. - Multi-sig custody and family alignment: Uses collaborative custody with the Bitcoin Advisor for security and peace of mind; this setup has been crucial in gaining his wife's confidence to increase household Bitcoin exposure together. - Business integration challenges: Wants Congham to accept Bitcoin but recognizes stakeholders need their own journey; taking incremental steps (accept payment, convert to fiat initially) rather than forcing conviction; seeking external demand signals (customer requests) to encourage board acceptance. - Unexpected rabbit holes: Learned fundamentals (what is money, power laws, network effects); anticipating experiencing Bitcoin volatility cycles he hasn't yet lived through; acknowledges he's only 9 months in and preparing mentally for "face ripping" corrections.
What Would a Bitcoin-Native Bank Actually Look Like? | Piotr Bedkowski #223
- Product strategy at Zappo: Building a full-service Bitcoin banking platform (wallet, savings, trading, lending, yield products) designed to meet long-term Bitcoiners' needs beyond simple hodling, including borrowing against Bitcoin without rehypothecation. - Bitcoin adoption narrative: Emphasizes getting billions of people direct exposure to Bitcoin through easy-to-use interfaces (potential "iPhone moment" via native OS integration) rather than relying solely on institutional adoption, ETFs, or government reserves. - Currency debasement case: Historical pattern showing all fiat currencies eventually lose value (pound sterling down 95% since 1971); Bitcoin offers immunity against monetary debasement as a scarce, hard asset with a fixed supply. - Custody and security evolution: Zappo shifted from multi-sig deep cold storage vaults ("Fort Knox of Bitcoin") to modern MPC (multiparty computation) protocols, maintaining security while enabling faster transactions for institutional and high-net-worth clients. - Collateral economics: Bitcoin should command lower borrowing rates than other assets (real estate, stocks) due to superior liquidity, no counterparty risk, portability, and 24/7 tradability—but market pricing hasn't fully reflected this yet. - User-centric product development: Decisions informed by three pillars: direct customer feedback, market trends within the Bitcoin community, and long-term vision of what banking infrastructure should look like in a Bitcoin-native world.
The Plan to Put a Bitcoiner in Every Boardroom on Earth | Scott Ellam #222
- XE's public market strategy: Structured as a traditional operating business designed to grow through bitcoin treasury accumulation rather than conventional scaling. Recent equity raise deployed 100% into bitcoin acquisition (10 BTC purchased). - Recruitment industry disruption: XE targets thousands of privately-held recruitment firms globally facing three core problems—cash leakage, scaling challenges tied to headcount, and difficult exits. Proposes bitcoin-backed equity incentives for recruiters and acquisition targets. - Talent retention through bitcoin alignment: Performance-based equity stakes backed by bitcoin treasury growth align employee incentives with long-term value creation, attracting high-performing recruiters who otherwise lack exit paths in a relationship-driven industry. - Bitcoin settlement for services: XE accepted 0.516 BTC as fee payment for executive recruitment placement. International cross-border payments identified as major friction point where bitcoin and stablecoins offer efficiency gains. - AI integration without role displacement: Deployed AI trained on negotiation frameworks and thousands of recruitment calls to enhance rather than replace recruiter work. Increased time spent on revenue-generating activities from 50% to 70%, targeting 90%. - Second-order bitcoin adoption: By placing thousands of executives within bitcoin-native companies and acquiring recruitment firms into XE's bitcoin-treasury model, every senior business leader globally would interact with bitcoin-informed recruiters, driving corporate adoption organically.
Why the UK Is Drifting on Bitcoin, And How to Fix It | Ben Cousens #221
- Antidote's founding and model: A Y Combinator-style accelerator for Bitcoin fintech businesses, offering $50,000 capital with 5% equity stake, curriculum on go-to-market strategy, and free office space on London's Hatton Garden. - Gaming and Lightning integration: ZBD embeds Lightning Network into games to enable Bitcoin payouts. Counter-Strike mod that paid sats created engagement; mobile gaming focus reached billions of potential players; Series C raised $40 million in January 2024. - Venture capital challenges in Bitcoin: Founders struggle balancing Bitcoin principles with investor demands for fiat revenue; gap between projects and investable companies; limited addressable market requires clear business models and execution discipline. - UK Bitcoin ecosystem: Author observes UK "drifting" rather than falling behind; lacks strategic government vision; sees generational adoption emerging naturally; compares American Bitcoin hubs (Presidio, Wolf) with nascent UK community. - Future mainstream adoption: Predicts 5–10 year timeline for high street banks offering Bitcoin savings accounts alongside traditional portfolios; younger demographics increasingly view Bitcoin as natural part of investment universe. - Nostr and agentic commerce: Interest in commercial Nostr applications (data, communication, wallet connectivity) and AI agents for commerce; sees Bitcoin's role in autonomous transactions.