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The Pomp Podcast

Has Bitcoin Hit The Bottom? | Jordi Visser

7/11/2026 · 53 min · transcript via whisper

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Key topics

AI mid-cycle slowdown is ending. Jordi sees sentiment and volatility reaching levels that suggest a bottom is forming; he expects the infrastructure trade to shift focus from pure compute spending to consumer agents, which will require 30x more compute than coding agents.

Meta, Apple, and Google pivoting to consumer agents and personal AI. These companies are repositioning from purely enterprise/cloud plays to consumer-facing agentic systems, which Jordi believes will unlock significant ROIC surprises once deployed at scale.

Bitcoin turning bullish on macro and technical grounds. Jordi identified his first RSI divergence since late 2023, suggesting a bottom. He expects Bitcoin well above $100k within a year, driven by Fed policy shifts, tokenization trends, and recognition of crypto as part of financial guardrails.

Tokenization and stablecoins as economic infrastructure. The administration views digital assets, tokenization, and stablecoins as critical to the next phase of US financial leadership; this ties directly to AI-driven agentic commerce and liquidity of dormant real estate assets.

Robotics (One X hand demo) as inflection point. Synthetic tendon-based robotic hands represent a major leap; combined with advancing AI, this unlocks recursive self-improvement and exponential problem-solving in science, energy, and healthcare.

Regional banks and healthcare (Eli Lilly) as secondary plays. Consolidation in regional banking and AI-driven breakthroughs in biotech (Eli Lilly's sovereign AI on Blackwell chips) represent high-ROIC opportunities outside pure semiconductors and crypto.

Market & price signals

Bitcoin: Jordi expects it above $70k by late July FOMC if no rate hike occurs; targets well above $100k within one year. Technical RSI divergence at $60k break signals a bottom and short-covering rally. Critical level: $76–77k (200-day MA); currently ~20% below. Samsung: Reported record earnings (~$217B expected this year, exceeding 40-year cumulative earnings), yet sold off 20% in 10 days—lowest 10-day correction in 25 years outside 2008/2020. Now near all-time highs despite correction, signaling bullish technical reaction. Micron: Jordi sold at $1250; stock reached $1300 then corrected to $900. He expects $4k–5k eventually but plans to trade more actively. Memory trade remains structurally sound; leverage has been purged from quant/Korean/ETF flows. Oil: Stuck $65–80 range despite Iran escalation; market implies no structural change, with long-end crude curve showing no stress. Crack spreads remain wide (refining bottleneck, not crude supply issue). Gold and silver: Positioned for appreciation as rate-hike probabilities shift; debasement trade dormant but not broken.

Actionable insights

Reposition from pure AI infrastructure to consumer agents. The compute buildout narrative is maturing; look for companies benefiting from agentic commerce (payments, commerce platforms, tokenization infrastructure) as next leg. Expect disappointments in some semis as supply/demand normalizes.

Bitcoin entry point near completion; accumulate before rate narrative fully shifts. At $60–70k, Bitcoin offers asymmetric risk/reward ahead of July FOMC and Q3 earnings season. Jordi expects 2x+ return to all-time highs; short-covering rally already underway but momentum remains below 200-day MA.

Diversify into healthcare and regional bank consolidation. Eli Lilly (sovereign AI, biotech compounding) and consolidating regional banks (AI-driven cost cuts, M&A accretion) offer less crowded exposure to AI ROIC without semis volatility. Insurance names already spending on AI; expect benefits to show next 12 months.

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