SpaceX, Strategy, Strive, US Treasury: 4 Big Bitcoin Balance Sheets
5/22/2026 · 50 min · transcript via whisper
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Key topics
— SpaceX Bitcoin Holdings: SpaceX filed its S-1 IPO disclosure revealing 18,712 Bitcoin at a $35,000 cost basis, making it the seventh largest public Bitcoin holder, just ahead of Coinbase. The company acquired these holdings in 2021–2022 and has held them since.
— MicroStrategy Surpasses BlackRock: MicroStrategy purchased another $25 million in Bitcoin and now holds more Bitcoin than BlackRock's iBit ETF (the largest Bitcoin ETF). However, roughly 70% of iBit holdings belong to retail investors, whereas MicroStrategy's holdings belong to Michael Saylor directly.
— Strive Bitcoin Daily Dividends: Strive launched a Bitcoin product offering 13% daily dividend yields while maintaining a $100 share price, marking the first daily-dividend Bitcoin product in US financial history. This is similar to 1971's money market fund innovation but applied to Bitcoin within a preferred stock wrapper.
— Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Legislation: A bill with 17 co-sponsors was introduced to codify Trump's executive order and authorize the US Treasury to acquire up to 200,000 Bitcoin per year for five years, targeting 1 million total Bitcoin (roughly 5% of global supply). This is authorization only, not a directive, and passage within 12 months is uncertain.
— Iran Uses Bitcoin for Maritime Insurance: Iran launched a digital insurance product for shipping cargo, settled in Bitcoin on the blockchain. This exemplifies how nation-states outside the Western financial system use Bitcoin to circumvent dollar-based sanctions and maintain sovereignty.
— Market Context: Bitcoin's implied volatility has dropped to a seven-month low despite macro risks, as investor attention focuses heavily on AI. Long-term holder supply is approaching record highs, breaking a multi-year downtrend. The Fed signaled higher rates for longer; markets now price minimal chance of rate cuts in 2025.
Market & price signals
— Bitcoin trading in the $65,000–$75,000 range, building a stable floor at these levels. Implied volatility at seven-month lows despite geopolitical and macro headwinds. Long-term holder supply approaching record highs, reversing a multi-year downtrend. Federal Reserve signaling higher-for-longer interest rates; market pricing only 1.5% chance of a December rate cut. Treasury yields rising on growth and fiscal spending rather than currency crisis, suggesting healthy but inflationary economic backdrop. Bitcoin has significantly outperformed software (IGV ETF) since February 2020—up 650% versus 200% for QQQ tech stocks—but the two remain correlated in the short term. Harvard endowment trimmed its Bitcoin position (from $500M+ to ~$120M) for at least two consecutive quarters and fully exited Ethereum.
Actionable insights
— Normalize Bitcoin as Reserve Asset: The convergence of SpaceX disclosure, MicroStrategy's lead position, Strive's innovation, and federal legislation signals Bitcoin is transitioning from speculative asset to institutional reserve. Career risk for advocating Bitcoin within financial institutions is now minimal; consider positioning accordingly within your own portfolio and professional context.
— Patient Accumulation Through Low Volatility: With implied volatility at seven-month lows and long-term holder supply at record levels, the current period favors passive accumulation and dollar-cost averaging rather than active trading. The AI narrative may dominate headlines for years; Bitcoin's thesis remains intact while it builds a stable floor.
— Monitor Legislative Timeline Carefully: The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill faces real headwinds (midterms, political uncertainty) and passage within 12 months is unlikely despite 17 co-sponsors. Track this bill's progress over the next 2–3 years, as passage would represent a major demand catalyst, but do not base near-term price expectations on it becoming law immediately.
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