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True North Podcast

MSTR Can Buy More BTC Than Sellers Can Sell | True North Podcast | Ep. 62

4/9/2026 · 96 min · transcript via mlx

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Key topics

STRC traded $330 million in volume within a two-penny range ($99.99 to $100.01), demonstrating unprecedented liquidity for a perpetual preferred equity instrument backed by Bitcoin collateral.

High-frequency trading algorithms are maintaining STRC's price near par ($100) because the 11.5% annualized yield provides asymmetric risk-reward: if purchased below par, downside is capped by the dividend while upside remains open.

Strategy acquired approximately 2,200 Bitcoin on Wednesday alone via STRC's ATM, potentially enabling 5,000–7,000 Bitcoin acquisitions weekly; at current pace, Strategy could reach one million Bitcoin by September 2025.

Morgan Stanley launched MBST, its Bitcoin ETF, with a 14 basis point fee (half competitors' fees) and plans to self-custody Bitcoin, signaling aggressive vertical integration rather than a token entry into the space.

STRC is redefining "credit" as a hybrid instrument: equity in structure but senior to common stock, with credit risk tied entirely to Strategy's ability to pay the yield perpetually as Bitcoin collateral grows.

The margin profile on STRC is extraordinary: each share sold today could generate 1,681% profit margin over 12 years if Bitcoin appreciates at projected rates (35% over 4 years, then 25%, then 20%), because capital deployed is immediate and cost of goods sold is the dividend.

Market & price signals

Bitcoin price context mentioned at approximately $70,000. STRC trading at par ($100) with 7-day volatility at 0.6% and astronomically high Sharpe ratios (potentially exceeding 40 as volatility compresses). Strategy's Bitcoin acquisition rate: 105% of weekly Bitcoin production already captured by Wednesday (3,298 BTC on Monday–Wednesday vs. ~3,150 BTC mined weekly). Morgan Stanley's MBST fee (14 bps) undercuts IBIT and FBTC (25 bps), signaling fee compression and high capital commitment to digital assets custody infrastructure.

Actionable insights

STRC's tight price band and high yield create a legitimate arbitrage: buy at $99.99, hold for monthly dividend (~$0.96), and capture yield even if price dips post-dividend—the risk-free rate for this trade appears to be 5–7% monthly because algos defend par and dividends are paid on schedule.

Morgan Stanley's custody roadmap (Coinbase → self-custody over 12 months) and low fee structure indicate that traditional finance is committing serious capital and infrastructure to Bitcoin; wealth advisors at Morgan Stanley (15 trillion AUM) now have in-house incentives to rotate clients from BlackRock's IBIT to MBST, likely driving significant capital flows.

Strategy reaching one million Bitcoin by September 2025 is plausible if STRC capital flows sustain; every $150 million ATM issuance day × 120 trading days = $18 billion raised, enough to acquire 250,000+ additional Bitcoin—this milestone will trigger cultural/narrative shift and likely attract new categories of institutional capital.

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